Projected 2026 men's basketball class rankings

Projected 2026 men's basketball recruiting class rankings by school, from current commits plus expected commits from CommitOdds probabilities. Updated 2026-10-16.

How it's calculated. Projected class = current commits + expected commits, where expected commits is the sum of each uncommitted player's current probability for that school. Weighted score uses a player value of 100 / (1 + national rank / 50) (so #1 = 98, #50 = 50, #100 = 33, #150 = 25): commits count their full value, uncommitted players count value × probability. Covers only the top-ranked players we track (2028 and 2027: top 100; 2026: final commits of our tracked players).

Rank	Change (7d / 30d)	School	Commits	Expected additional	Projected total	Weighted score	Top uncommitted targets
1	–	Arkansas	6	0.00	6.00	383.3	–
2	–	Kansas	4	0.00	4.00	240.7	–
3	–	Duke	4	0.00	4.00	303.7	–
4	–	Michigan	4	0.00	4.00	226.5	–
5	–	Alabama	4	0.00	4.00	229.4	–
6	–	Michigan State	4	0.00	4.00	195.5	–
7	–	Texas	3	0.00	3.00	206.9	–
8	–	USC	3	0.00	3.00	218.6	–
9	–	Oklahoma State	3	0.00	3.00	146.6	–
10	–	Vanderbilt	3	0.00	3.00	133.2	–
11	–	Purdue	3	0.00	3.00	135.7	–
12	–	Florida State	3	0.00	3.00	117.1	–
13	–	Indiana	3	0.00	3.00	110.3	–
14	–	Arizona	2	0.00	2.00	147.7	–
15	–	BYU	2	0.00	2.00	127.7	–
16	–	Missouri	2	0.00	2.00	158.1	–
17	–	Ohio State	2	0.00	2.00	133.3	–
18	–	Maryland	2	0.00	2.00	132.5	–
19	–	Baylor	2	0.00	2.00	136.8	–
20	–	Louisville	2	0.00	2.00	124.1	–
21	–	Illinois	2	0.00	2.00	122.5	–
22	–	North Carolina	2	0.00	2.00	98.9	–
23	–	UConn	2	0.00	2.00	118.1	–
24	–	Houston	2	0.00	2.00	112.2	–
25	–	Providence	2	0.00	2.00	90.8	–
26	–	Tennessee	2	0.00	2.00	85.7	–
27	–	Oklahoma	2	0.00	2.00	81.8	–
28	–	UCLA	2	0.00	2.00	88.9	–
29	–	VCU	2	0.00	2.00	74.9	–
30	–	Mississippi State	2	0.00	2.00	74.4	–
31	–	Dayton	2	0.00	2.00	68.2	–
32	–	Wake Forest	2	0.00	2.00	69.4	–
33	–	Texas A&M	2	0.00	2.00	63.1	–
34	–	Miami	1	0.00	1.00	75.8	–
35	–	West Virginia	1	0.00	1.00	72.5	–
36	–	Texas Tech	1	0.00	1.00	61.7	–
37	–	Oregon	1	0.00	1.00	58.8	–
38	–	Pittsburgh	1	0.00	1.00	54.9	–
39	–	Pepperdine	1	0.00	1.00	43.1	–
40	–	Villanova	1	0.00	1.00	42.4	–
41	–	Saint Mary's	1	0.00	1.00	40.3	–
42	–	Stanford	1	0.00	1.00	39.7	–
43	–	Georgia Tech	1	0.00	1.00	38.5	–
44	–	Notre Dame	1	0.00	1.00	37.9	–
45	–	South Carolina	1	0.00	1.00	37.6	–
46	–	Creighton	1	0.00	1.00	37.0	–
47	–	UC Irvine	1	0.00	1.00	35.7	–
48	–	Nebraska	1	0.00	1.00	35.2	–
49	–	Northwestern	1	0.00	1.00	35.0	–
50	–	Marquette	1	0.00	1.00	34.5	–
51	–	Kent State	1	0.00	1.00	34.2	–
52	–	Xavier	1	0.00	1.00	33.3	–
53	–	Iowa State	1	0.00	1.00	32.7	–
54	–	Memphis	1	0.00	1.00	32.5	–
55	–	Florida Atlantic	1	0.00	1.00	32.1	–
56	–	Wisconsin	1	0.00	1.00	31.2	–
57	–	Colorado	1	0.00	1.00	30.5	–
58	–	Minnesota	1	0.00	1.00	30.3	–
59	–	Gonzaga	1	0.00	1.00	29.9	–
60	–	St. John's	1	0.00	1.00	29.8	–
61	–	Iowa	1	0.00	1.00	29.1	–