Projected 2027 men's basketball class rankings

Projected 2027 men's basketball recruiting class rankings by school, from current commits plus expected commits from CommitOdds probabilities. Updated 2026-10-16.

How it's calculated. Projected class = current commits + expected commits, where expected commits is the sum of each uncommitted player's current probability for that school. Weighted score uses a player value of 100 / (1 + national rank / 50) (so #1 = 98, #50 = 50, #100 = 33, #150 = 25): commits count their full value, uncommitted players count value × probability. Covers only the top-ranked players we track (2028 and 2027: top 100; 2026: final commits of our tracked players).

Top 10 projected totals over time

■ Houston ■ Kentucky ■ Iowa State ■ LSU ■ Creighton ■ UConn ■ Ohio State ■ Cincinnati ■ Georgia ■ Indiana

Before 2026-10-16, points are reconstructed weekly from point-in-time data (commit dates and the odds the model would have given then).

Rank	Change (7d / 30d)	School	Commits	Expected additional	Projected total	Weighted score	Top uncommitted targets
1	= / =	Houston	4	0.33	4.33	209.1	Jeremy Jenkins 27%, Reese Alston 1%, Jayon Connor 1%
2	▲1 / ▲22	Kentucky	1	2.03	3.03	224.0	Paul Osaruyi 78%, Cherif Millogo 42%, Reese Alston 30%
3	▼1 / =	Iowa State	3	0.00	3.00	139.8	–
4	▲1 / ▲13	LSU	2	0.32	2.32	172.0	Reese Alston 21%, Asa Montgomery 9%, AJ Williams 1%
5	▲1 / ▲4	Creighton	2	0.22	2.22	108.3	Patrick Otey 11%, Lyris Robinson 8%, Cherif Millogo 2%
6	▲1 / ▼1	UConn	2	0.20	2.20	180.3	Asa Montgomery 14%, Demarcus Henry 5%, Jayon Connor 1%
7	▲1 / ▲3	Ohio State	2	0.19	2.19	99.9	Josh Leonard 14%, Jahari Miller 4%, Demarcus Henry 1%
8	▼4 / ▲17	Cincinnati	2	0.12	2.12	105.6	Josh Leonard 9%, Nasir Anderson 1%, AJ Williams 1%
9	▲1 / ▲17	Georgia	2	0.07	2.07	112.4	Cherif Millogo 3%, AJ Williams 2%, Nasir Anderson 1%
10	▲4 / ▲3	Indiana	2	0.06	2.06	146.3	Paul Osaruyi 2%, Nasir Anderson 1%, AJ Williams 1%
11	▲2 / ▼7	Xavier	2	0.05	2.05	85.4	Patrick Otey 4%, Jalen Davis 0%, Demarcus Henry 0%
12	▼1 / ▼6	Arizona State	2	0.05	2.05	103.2	Lyris Robinson 2%, Jeremy Jenkins 1%, Demarcus Henry 1%
13	▲7 / ▲46	SMU	2	0.03	2.03	83.5	Munir Greig 2%, Reese Alston 1%, Beckham Black 0%
14	▲8 / ▲20	Missouri	2	0.02	2.02	124.9	Nasir Anderson 1%, Malachi Jordan 0%
15	▼6 / ▼7	Purdue	2	0.01	2.01	131.1	Reese Alston 1%
16	▼1 / ▲35	Michigan State	2	0.01	2.01	114.5	Jayon Connor 1%, Asa Montgomery 0%
17	▼1 / ▲11	Rutgers	2	0.01	2.01	92.9	AJ Williams 1%, Asa Montgomery 0%
18	▲14 / ▲19	Boston College	2	0.01	2.01	69.4	Josh Leonard 1%
19	▼7 / ▼12	Alabama	1	1.00	2.00	133.0	Zion Green 38%, Malachi Jordan 34%, Jahari Miller 15%
20	▼3 / ▼6	Wake Forest	1	0.76	1.76	66.7	Jayon Connor 41%, Deuce McDuffie 23%, Jahari Miller 8%
21	▼3 / ▼19	Georgia Tech	1	0.72	1.72	76.0	Jeremy Jenkins 45%, Asa Montgomery 21%, K'Nard Callendar 3%
22	▼3 / ▼4	Tennessee	0	1.71	1.71	135.9	Cayden Daughtry 88%, Dylan Jones 46%, Malachi Jordan 18%
23	▼2 / ▲29	Arkansas	0	1.69	1.69	155.0	Demarcus Henry 48%, Adan Diggs 45%, Beckham Black 36%
24	▲37 / ▲48	Ole Miss	1	0.53	1.53	94.6	Zion Green 27%, Dylan Jones 19%, Jahari Miller 3%
25	▲6 / ▼6	Louisville	1	0.48	1.48	86.0	CJ Rosser 25%, Demarcus Henry 14%, Cherif Millogo 3%
26	▼1 / ▲49	Auburn	1	0.30	1.30	71.2	AJ Williams 27%, Nasir Anderson 1%, Zion Green 1%
27	▲32 / ▲23	California	1	0.30	1.30	74.1	Lewis Uvwo 16%, Josh Leonard 9%, Mahamadou Diop 2%
28	▲1 / ▲12	Duke	1	0.28	1.28	98.7	Asa Montgomery 25%, AJ Williams 1%, Lewis Uvwo 1%
29	▼6 / ▲35	Vanderbilt	1	0.26	1.26	53.6	Malachi Jordan 18%, Cayden Daughtry 4%, Cherif Millogo 2%
30	▼3 / ▲23	Syracuse	1	0.19	1.19	87.0	Patrick Otey 12%, Cherif Millogo 3%, Zion Green 2%
31	▲2 / ▼20	Virginia Tech	1	0.18	1.18	57.0	Jayon Connor 13%, K'Nard Callendar 1%, Jeremy Jenkins 1%
32	▲3 / ▼5	Baylor	1	0.18	1.18	70.6	Lewis Uvwo 17%, Nasir Anderson 1%, Malachi Jordan 0%
33	▲1 / ▲28	Jacksonville	1	0.18	1.18	48.9	Josh Leonard 15%, Nasir Anderson 1%, Lyris Robinson 1%
34	▼4 / ▲9	Iowa	1	0.17	1.17	48.6	Jalen Davis 17%
35	▲29 / ▲14	Georgetown	1	0.15	1.15	49.3	Terence Jones 10%, Beckham Black 3%, Jeremy Jenkins 1%
36	▲1 / ▼21	Maryland	1	0.14	1.14	55.7	K'Nard Callendar 4%, Zion Green 3%, Jeremy Jenkins 2%
37	▲17 / ▲21	Michigan	1	0.12	1.12	45.5	Josh Leonard 6%, Zion Green 4%, Lewis Uvwo 1%
38	▼12 / ▼7	North Carolina	0	1.11	1.11	95.0	Nasir Anderson 41%, Asa Montgomery 20%, Jalen Davis 14%
39	▼11 / ▲32	South Carolina	1	0.11	1.11	45.0	Josh Leonard 11%
40	= / ▲17	San Diego State	0	1.08	1.08	46.1	Mahamadou Diop 84%, Lyris Robinson 24%, Jalen Davis 0%
41	= / ▼2	Wisconsin	1	0.07	1.07	43.1	Deuce McDuffie 7%
42	▼3 / ▼13	Illinois	1	0.06	1.06	46.6	Jayon Connor 2%, Nasir Anderson 1%, Reese Alston 1%
43	▲6 / ▲99	Seton Hall	1	0.04	1.04	49.5	Zion Green 2%, Nasir Anderson 1%, Reese Alston 1%
44	▼2 / ▲88	Nebraska	1	0.03	1.03	67.5	Cherif Millogo 3%
45	▼2 / ▲92	Florida	1	0.03	1.03	57.9	Nasir Anderson 1%, Lewis Uvwo 1%, Asa Montgomery 0%
46	= / ▲39	Texas Tech	1	0.03	1.03	44.9	Reese Alston 1%, Jalen Davis 0%, Asa Montgomery 0%
47	▼23 / ▼9	Gonzaga	1	0.02	1.02	74.9	Jalen Davis 1%, Demarcus Henry 1%
48	▼12 / ▲14	UCF	0	1.01	1.01	41.4	K'Nard Callendar 91%, Deuce McDuffie 6%, Josh Leonard 2%
49	▼4 / ▼17	Butler	1	0.00	1.00	56.2	–
50	▼3 / ▲90	Utah State	1	0.00	1.00	48.5	–
51	▼3 / ▼16	Minnesota	1	0.00	1.00	46.7	–
52	▼2 / ▲70	Northwestern	1	0.00	1.00	44.6	–
53	▲69 / ▲27	VCU	1	0.00	1.00	39.1	–
54	▼16 / ▼24	UC Santa Barbara	1	0.00	1.00	35.2	–
55	▲38 / ▲42	Kent State	1	0.00	1.00	34.7	–
56	▼12 / ▲80	Florida Atlantic	1	0.00	1.00	33.3	–
57	▼5 / ▼12	High Point	0	0.94	0.94	34.5	Munir Greig 93%, Lyris Robinson 1%, CJ Rosser 0%
58	▼5 / ▼42	Loyola	0	0.92	0.92	36.7	Teke Deng 92%, Lyris Robinson 0%
59	▼3 / ▼38	Providence	0	0.83	0.83	50.8	Patrick Otey 34%, Lewis Uvwo 26%, Nasir Anderson 7%
60	▼5 / ▼38	Mississippi State	0	0.72	0.72	49.9	AJ Williams 34%, Terence Jones 11%, Jalen White 8%
61	▼1 / ▼20	USC	0	0.59	0.59	50.4	Beckham Black 23%, CJ Rosser 12%, Cherif Millogo 10%
62	▼5 / ▲15	Arizona	0	0.43	0.43	37.6	Adan Diggs 41%, Cherif Millogo 2%, Asa Montgomery 0%
63	▲28 / ▼8	UCLA	0	0.41	0.41	29.9	Jalen Davis 33%, Mahamadou Diop 4%, Paul Osaruyi 1%
64	▲5 / –	NC State	0	0.37	0.37	18.2	Jayon Connor 28%, CJ Rosser 5%, Josh Leonard 1%
65	▲2 / ▼45	Kansas	0	0.37	0.37	27.3	Malachi Jordan 21%, Jeremy Jenkins 3%, Paul Osaruyi 2%
66	▲2 / ▼20	West Virginia	0	0.37	0.37	15.8	Deuce McDuffie 15%, Jalen White 12%, Mahamadou Diop 2%
67	▼5 / ▼55	Florida State	0	0.35	0.35	18.5	Patrick Otey 14%, Jahari Miller 11%, Jeremy Jenkins 5%
68	▲2 / ▲1	Pepperdine	0	0.35	0.35	12.9	Terence Jones 22%, Jalen White 13%
69	▲2 / ▲64	New Mexico	0	0.32	0.32	14.2	Lyris Robinson 31%, Jalen Davis 0%, Dylan Jones 0%
70	▲3 / ▼10	Oklahoma State	0	0.31	0.31	15.9	Jahari Miller 15%, Jalen White 6%, Zion Green 3%
71	▲3 / ▼27	Dayton	0	0.30	0.30	11.4	Terence Jones 29%, Jahari Miller 1%
72	▼6 / ▼30	Texas	0	0.28	0.28	24.4	Beckham Black 17%, Cherif Millogo 6%, Reese Alston 3%
73	▲3 / ▼3	Bradley	0	0.25	0.25	10.6	Lyris Robinson 17%, Deuce McDuffie 7%
74	▼9 / ▼38	Washington	0	0.24	0.24	10.9	Jalen White 14%, Patrick Otey 4%, Zion Green 2%
75	▲4 / ▼1	UNLV	0	0.23	0.23	9.3	Jalen White 16%, Teke Deng 2%, Munir Greig 1%
76	▲1 / ▼28	Virginia	0	0.23	0.23	19.0	Nasir Anderson 22%, Beckham Black 0%, Reese Alston 0%
77	▼5 / ▼54	Stanford	0	0.22	0.22	16.8	Jalen Davis 19%, Lyris Robinson 1%, Reese Alston 1%
78	▲42 / ▲50	BYU	0	0.20	0.20	17.2	AJ Williams 15%, Jeremy Jenkins 1%, Cherif Millogo 1%
79	▼28 / ▼16	TCU	0	0.18	0.18	8.8	Deuce McDuffie 9%, Cherif Millogo 3%, Jahari Miller 2%
80	▲1 / ▲6	Villanova	0	0.17	0.17	7.5	Patrick Otey 7%, Terence Jones 6%, Zion Green 2%
81	▲1 / ▼25	Memphis	0	0.15	0.15	9.3	Dylan Jones 14%, AJ Williams 1%, Malachi Jordan 0%
82	▲4 / ▲17	Saint Louis	0	0.15	0.15	6.1	Patrick Otey 11%, Jalen White 2%, Jahari Miller 1%
83	= / ▲7	Toledo	0	0.14	0.14	6.5	Jahari Miller 7%, Deuce McDuffie 7%
84	▼4 / ▼19	Oklahoma	0	0.14	0.14	9.1	Zion Green 11%, Mahamadou Diop 2%, Lewis Uvwo 1%
85	= / ▲8	Illinois-Chicago	0	0.13	0.13	4.8	Deuce McDuffie 8%, Jalen White 5%
86	▼28 / ▼10	DePaul	0	0.12	0.12	4.9	Deuce McDuffie 8%, Teke Deng 3%, Jahari Miller 1%
87	= / ▲7	Clemson	0	0.12	0.12	7.2	Josh Leonard 11%, Jayon Connor 0%
88	▼4 / ▲36	Miami	0	0.12	0.12	11.2	CJ Rosser 9%, Lewis Uvwo 1%, AJ Williams 1%
89	▲6 / ▼56	Oregon	0	0.11	0.11	5.8	Jalen White 3%, Mahamadou Diop 2%, Jeremy Jenkins 1%
90	▼1 / ▲13	College of Charleston	0	0.10	0.10	6.1	Josh Leonard 10%
91	▲15 / ▼13	Texas A&M	0	0.09	0.09	6.3	Dylan Jones 4%, Reese Alston 1%, Jayon Connor 1%
92	▲4 / ▲14	Appalachian State	0	0.08	0.08	4.2	Jahari Miller 7%, Jayon Connor 1%
93	▲4 / ▼2	Wichita State	0	0.08	0.08	6.8	Reese Alston 8%
94	▲4 / ▲23	IU Indy	0	0.07	0.07	3.9	Jahari Miller 7%
95	▲5 / ▲25	Radford	0	0.07	0.07	3.8	Jahari Miller 7%
96	▼2 / ▼8	New Mexico State	0	0.07	0.07	2.6	Jalen White 7%, Dylan Jones 0%
97	▲4 / ▲28	Towson	0	0.07	0.07	2.5	Terence Jones 7%
98	▲7 / ▲29	Green Bay	0	0.06	0.06	2.6	Deuce McDuffie 6%, Lyris Robinson 1%
99	▲3 / ▲20	Saint Joseph's	0	0.06	0.06	2.3	Terence Jones 6%
100	▲3 / ▼19	Kansas State	0	0.06	0.06	2.9	Teke Deng 4%, Zion Green 2%, K'Nard Callendar 1%