Class of 2026 men's basketball commitment predictions

Backtested commitment predictions for 115 committed class of 2026 men's basketball recruits.

Rank	Player	Pos.	Status	Top pick
1	Tyran Stokes	SF	Committed: Kansas	Oregon 24.4%
2	Caleb Holt	SG	Committed: Arizona	Houston 31.8%
3	Jordan Smith Jr.	CG	Committed: Arkansas	Duke 36.1%
4	Cameron Williams	PF	Committed: Duke	Duke 98.5%
5	Bruce Branch III	SF	Committed: BYU	USC 45.5%
6	Marcus Spears Jr.	PF	Committed: Texas	Houston 9.2%
7	Jason Crowe Jr.	CG	Committed: Missouri	USC 17.5%
8	Christian Collins	PF	Committed: USC	UCLA 23.6%
9	Anthony Thompson	SF	Committed: Ohio State	Kentucky 20.2%
10	Brandon McCoy Jr.	SG	Committed: Michigan	Duke 39.5%
11	Baba Oladotun	SF	Committed: Maryland	Arkansas 28.2%
12	Dylan Mingo	CG	Committed: Baylor	North Carolina 40.6%
13	Deron Rippey Jr.	PG	Committed: Duke	Duke 25.4%
14	Abdou Toure	SF	Committed: Arkansas	Arkansas 71.8%
15	Obinna Ekezie Jr.	C	Committed: Louisville	BYU 41.4%
16	Caleb Gaskins	PF	Committed: Miami	Florida 39.1%
17	JJ Andrews	SF	Committed: Arkansas	Arkansas 23.6%
18	Quentin Coleman	SG	Committed: Illinois	Illinois 49.0%
19	Miles Sadler	PG	Committed: West Virginia	Oklahoma 34.5%
20	Adonis Ratliff	PF	Committed: USC	Alabama 52.6%
21	Toni Bryant	PF	Committed: Missouri	North Carolina 55.0%
22	Taylen Kinney	PG	Committed: Kansas	Arkansas 42.8%
23	Bryson Howard	SG	Committed: Duke	Duke 97.9%
24	Austin Goosby	CG	Committed: Texas	BYU 21.9%
25	Jaxon Richardson	SF	Committed: Alabama	Louisville 26.7%
26	Maximo Adams	SF	Committed: North Carolina	North Carolina 31.5%
27	Colben Landrew	SF	Committed: UConn	Mississippi State 25.1%
28	Arafan Diane	C	Committed: Houston	Houston 36.5%
29	Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje	PF	Committed: Duke	Duke 60.5%
30	Qayden Samuels	SF	Committed: Alabama	Alabama 61.9%
31	DaKari Spear	SG	Committed: Texas Tech	Texas Tech 42.1%
32	Darius Ratliff	C	Committed: USC	Alabama 44.0%
33	Jasiah Jervis	SG	Committed: Michigan State	Tennessee 29.1%
34	Javon Bardwell	SF	Committed: Providence	Kansas 24.4%
35	Tajh Ariza	SF	Committed: Oregon	USC 74.6%
36	Quinn Costello	PF	Committed: Michigan	Michigan 32.5%
37	Latrell Allmond	PF	Committed: Oklahoma State	Virginia 36.1%
38	Gabe Nesmith	SF	Committed: Vanderbilt	Providence 57.9%
39	Elijah Williams	SF	Committed: Baylor	Baylor 96.2%
40	Anthony Felesi	SF	Committed: Oklahoma State	Louisville 24.6%
41	Chase Foster	PF	Committed: Pittsburgh	Texas A&M 30.3%
42	Luke Ertel	PG	Committed: Purdue	Purdue 21.0%
43	Ethan Taylor	C	Committed: Michigan State	Kansas 36.7%
44	Junior County	SG	Committed: UConn	UConn 35.5%
45	Anderson Diaz	PG	Committed: Alabama	Auburn 8.8%
46	Marcis Ponder	C	Committed: Florida State	Alabama 13.1%
47	Cameron Holmes	SF	Committed: Arizona	North Carolina 31.9%
48	Lincoln Cosby	SF	Committed: Michigan	Alabama 48.9%
49	Kaden House	CG	Committed: Maryland	Vanderbilt 30.0%
50	Bo Ogden	SF	Committed: Texas	Texas 77.2%
51	Davion Thompson	PG	Committed: Arkansas	Tennessee 10.5%
52	Lucas Morillo	SG	Committed: Illinois	UCLA 33.8%
53	LJ Smith	CG	Committed: Ohio State	North Carolina 46.2%
54	Ikenna Alozie	CG	Committed: Houston	Houston 43.3%
55	Tarris Bouie	SF	Committed: Alabama	Alabama 96.3%
56	Boyuan Zhang	SF	Committed: Louisville	Louisville 29.6%
57	Carlos Medlock Jr.	PG	Committed: Michigan State	Iowa 20.0%
58	Christopher Washington Jr.	SF	Committed: Tennessee	Tennessee 95.5%
59	Quincy Wadley	SG	Committed: Oklahoma	Oklahoma 48.4%
61	Miikka Muurinen	PF	Committed: Arkansas	Arkansas 97.4%
61	Nikola Kusturica	SF	Committed: UCLA	Kentucky 37.0%
64	Joe Philon	PF	Committed: UCLA	South Florida 42.1%
65	Sammy Jackson	SF	Committed: VCU	Saint Joseph's 35.6%
66	Alex Constanza	SF	Committed: Pepperdine	Georgetown 25.5%
68	Adam Oumiddoch	SG	Committed: Villanova	Illinois 20.9%
69	Vaughn Karvala	SF	Committed: Indiana	Indiana 34.3%
70	Caleb Ourigou	C	Committed: Arkansas	Arkansas 17.6%
71	Jacob Webber	SF	Committed: Purdue	Purdue 89.3%
72	Davion Adkins	C	Committed: Kansas	TCU 39.2%
73	Tristan Reed	C	Committed: Mississippi State	Mississippi State 30.1%
74	Darius Bivins	PG	Committed: Saint Mary's	Saint Mary's 29.4%
75	Sinan Huan	C	Committed: Purdue	Northwestern 58.3%
76	Aziz Olajuwon	SF	Committed: Stanford	Vanderbilt 56.4%
77	Ralph Scott	SF	Committed: Tennessee	Houston 26.2%
78	Ethan Mgbako	SF	Committed: Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt 71.5%
79	Aiden Derkack	SG	Committed: Dayton	Dayton 81.9%
80	Kayden Allen	SF	Committed: Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech 92.1%
81	Trevor Manhertz	SF	Committed: Indiana	Indiana 84.2%
82	Jonathan Sanderson	PG	Committed: Notre Dame	Notre Dame 38.7%
83	Marcus Johnson	PG	Committed: South Carolina	Alabama 14.0%
84	Anthony Brown	PG	Committed: Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt 43.8%
85	Katrelle Harmon	CG	Committed: Creighton	Creighton 52.9%
86	Dean Rueckert	SF	Committed: BYU	BYU 45.0%
87	Gavin Placide	PF	Committed: Wake Forest	Mississippi State 44.5%
89	Gage Mayfield	PF	Committed: Oklahoma	Oklahoma 32.4%
90	Josiah Johnson	PG	Committed: UC Irvine	UC Irvine 33.1%
91	Martay Barnes	CG	Committed: Florida State	Florida State 85.9%
92	Colin Rice	SF	Committed: Nebraska	Northwestern 53.8%
93	Jayden Hodge	SF	Committed: Northwestern	Mississippi State 37.1%
94	Julius Avent	PF	Committed: Michigan State	Penn State 36.4%
95	Alex Egbuonu	SF	Committed: Marquette	Providence 87.7%
96	Dhani Miller	SG	Committed: Kent State	Stetson 9.9%
97	Joseph Hartman	SG	Committed: Michigan	Butler 23.0%
98	Willie Burnett III	CG	Committed: Mississippi State	Mississippi State 72.7%
99	Jalen Montonati	SF	Committed: Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State 53.5%
100	Kalek House	SG	Committed: Xavier	Xavier 95.5%
101	Kevin Thomas	SF	Committed: North Carolina	North Carolina 57.7%
102	Gallagher Placide	PF	Committed: Wake Forest	Mississippi State 44.5%
103	Dorian Rinaldo-Komlan	C	Committed: Iowa State	Iowa State 97.4%
104	Fred Smith Jr.	PF	Committed: Memphis	Memphis 62.5%
105	Trent Perry	SF	Committed: Kansas	TCU 27.8%
106	Felipe Quinones	CG	Committed: Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic 60.4%
107	Josh Irving	C	Committed: Texas A&M	Kentucky 53.5%
109	Collin Ross	PF	Committed: VCU	VCU 15.7%
110	Owen Foxwell	PG	Committed: Wisconsin	LSU 52.4%
110	Dink Pate	SG	Committed: Providence	Providence 73.2%
110	Bryson Warren	CG	Committed: Texas A&M	Texas A&M 84.6%
114	Rider Portela	SF	Committed: Colorado	Colorado 59.0%
115	Nolen Anderson	SF	Committed: Minnesota	Minnesota 38.1%
116	Prince-Alexander Moody	CG	Committed: Indiana	Indiana 90.1%
117	Sam Funches	C	Committed: Gonzaga	Mississippi State 31.6%
118	Theo Edema	C	Committed: St. John's	Syracuse 25.7%
119	Brandon Bass Jr.	SG	Committed: Florida State	Florida State 43.5%
120	Cody Peck	C	Committed: Dayton	Miami 54.3%
122	Ethan Harris	PF	Committed: Iowa	Washington 43.9%