Projected 2028 men's basketball class rankings

Projected 2028 men's basketball recruiting class rankings by school, from current commits plus expected commits from CommitOdds probabilities. Updated 2026-10-16.

How it's calculated. Projected class = current commits + expected commits, where expected commits is the sum of each uncommitted player's current probability for that school. Weighted score uses a player value of 100 / (1 + national rank / 50) (so #1 = 98, #50 = 50, #100 = 33, #150 = 25): commits count their full value, uncommitted players count value × probability. Covers only the top-ranked players we track (2028 and 2027: top 100; 2026: final commits of our tracked players).

Top 10 projected totals over time

■ Georgia ■ Mississippi State ■ Missouri ■ Arizona State ■ Virginia Tech ■ Georgia Tech ■ California ■ Creighton ■ Indiana ■ Oklahoma State

Before 2026-10-16, points are reconstructed weekly from point-in-time data (commit dates and the odds the model would have given then).

Rank	Change (7d / 30d)	School	Commits	Expected additional	Projected total	Weighted score	Top uncommitted targets
1	= / ▲7	Georgia	0	3.16	3.16	183.8	Jakobi Oware 83%, Bamba Touray 69%, Peter Julius 37%
2	▲1 / ▲2	Mississippi State	0	2.94	2.94	180.7	Erick Dampier Jr. 77%, David Douglas 19%, Nash Avery 18%
3	▼1 / ▼2	Missouri	0	2.89	2.89	174.4	Marceles Duncan 38%, Jakyi Miles 28%, Shalen Sheppard 23%
4	▲1 / ▼1	Arizona State	0	2.84	2.84	152.8	Tai Bell 52%, David Douglas 29%, Mateen Cleaves Jr. 29%
5	▼1 / ▼3	Virginia Tech	0	2.75	2.75	125.0	Shane Goines 31%, Brendan Williams 20%, Nico Antoniacci 20%
6	= / ▼1	Georgia Tech	0	1.92	1.92	112.3	Jaden McCullough 38%, Quinton Wilson 19%, Brielen Craft 14%
7	▲2 / =	California	0	1.80	1.80	96.2	Devaughn Dorrough 31%, JJ Sati-Grier 23%, Nijaun Harris 15%
8	▼1 / ▼2	Creighton	0	1.78	1.78	99.0	Kalan Steinbeck 45%, Dylan Zeigler 26%, Ka'Shawn Gill 16%
9	▼1 / ▲3	Indiana	0	1.74	1.74	104.1	Brady Pettigrew 26%, Joshua Lindsay 20%, JJ Sati-Grier 19%
10	▲3 / =	Oklahoma State	0	1.72	1.72	87.5	Keaton Murry 23%, Derek Swartz 21%, Jordan Mitchell 16%
11	▼1 / ▼2	Rutgers	0	1.70	1.70	83.9	Igniire Muhammad 60%, Carter George 29%, Rowan Phillips 20%
12	▼1 / ▼1	Syracuse	0	1.61	1.61	88.0	Ka'Shawn Gill 18%, Isaiah Clarke 15%, Damian Mojica 15%
13	▲1 / =	West Virginia	0	1.58	1.58	68.6	Mmesoma Ndubisi 50%, David Douglas 18%, Braxton Bogard 16%
14	▲1 / =	Ole Miss	0	1.52	1.52	79.3	Shane Goines 20%, Braxton Bogard 19%, Isaiah Clarke 16%
15	▼3 / ▲3	Maryland	0	1.51	1.51	85.6	Xavier Skipworth 20%, Xavier Young 19%, Quinton Wilson 19%
16	▲3 / ▲3	Kansas	0	1.41	1.41	71.2	Jeremiah Evans 41%, Dylan McGhee 12%, Marceles Duncan 11%
17	▲3 / ▼2	Florida State	0	1.32	1.32	85.7	Kenyon St. Louis 15%, Myles Hayes 12%, Jakyi Miles 9%
18	▼1 / ▲2	Oregon State	0	1.27	1.27	58.4	Dakari Mitchell 32%, Brendan Williams 22%, Quentin Mosby 22%
19	▼3 / ▼3	Purdue	0	1.26	1.26	68.4	Cole Kelly 52%, Noah Washington 24%, Dylan Betts 16%
20	▼2 / ▲1	South Carolina	0	1.24	1.24	59.0	Jeremiah Evans 24%, CJ Moore 23%, Chris Paul II 22%
21	= / ▲1	Georgetown	0	1.18	1.18	59.6	Derek Swartz 27%, Kareem Smith-Bey 21%, Landon Lampley 14%
22	= / ▲4	Michigan	0	1.17	1.17	67.3	Joey Kohnen 36%, Dylan Zeigler 16%, Isaac Smith 13%
23	= / ▲1	Wake Forest	0	1.09	1.09	49.4	Kinston Knueppel 65%, Chris Paul II 12%, Damian Mojica 7%
24	= / ▲1	Nebraska	0	1.08	1.08	50.7	Boogie Cook 36%, Kalan Steinbeck 31%, Dylan McGhee 16%
25	= / ▲4	UT Arlington	0	1.00	1.00	39.8	Mmesoma Ndubisi 50%, Chris Paul II 15%, MJ Boyd 12%
26	▲1 / ▲1	Providence	0	0.99	0.99	60.4	Michai White 41%, Derek Swartz 12%, Isaiah Clarke 11%
27	▲20 / ▲11	Tennessee	0	0.98	0.98	67.5	Xavier Young 30%, Nico Antoniacci 18%, Bentley Lusakueno 12%
28	= / =	USC	0	0.97	0.97	63.0	JJ Sati-Grier 18%, Houston Rolle 14%, Josh Lowery 14%
29	▲2 / ▲1	Utah	0	0.92	0.92	45.3	Dakari Mitchell 21%, Brendan Williams 20%, Boss Mhoon 18%
30	▲5 / ▲6	TCU	0	0.91	0.91	50.5	Jordan Mitchell 15%, Landon Lampley 10%, Joel Patrick 8%
31	▲11 / ▲8	UNLV	0	0.88	0.88	52.7	Emmanuel Nwabuoku 10%, Darren Ford 9%, Dylan Betts 8%
32	▼3 / ▼1	Toledo	0	0.88	0.88	35.4	Igniire Muhammad 40%, Ka'Shawn Gill 20%, Carter George 18%
33	▼1 / ▲2	Auburn	0	0.88	0.88	52.9	Brielen Craft 15%, Will Brunson 10%, Anthony Spratt Jr. 10%
34	▼8 / ▼17	LSU	0	0.87	0.87	54.5	Xavier Young 14%, Xavier Hall 14%, Logan Chwastyk 11%
35	▼2 / ▼1	Marquette	0	0.84	0.84	38.5	Xavier Skipworth 17%, Christian Clair 15%, Carter Smith 14%
36	▼2 / ▼3	Cincinnati	0	0.84	0.84	46.0	Kaharri Coleman 15%, Micah Gunter 14%, Jaden McCullough 13%
37	▲3 / ▲3	Villanova	0	0.83	0.83	44.0	Nico Antoniacci 28%, Shane Goines 19%, Rowan Phillips 15%
38	▼8 / ▼6	Houston	0	0.82	0.82	62.9	Mateen Cleaves Jr. 17%, Josiah Rose 14%, Yann Kamagate 14%
39	▼3 / ▼2	Penn State	0	0.82	0.82	42.0	Carter George 13%, Emmanuel Nwabuoku 10%, Rowan Phillips 9%
40	▼2 / ▼17	Vanderbilt	0	0.82	0.82	57.3	Bentley Lusakueno 28%, Myles Hayes 20%, Emmanuel Nwabuoku 11%
41	= / ▲6	Virginia	0	0.80	0.80	40.6	Isaiah Carter 28%, Boogie Cook 27%, Carter Smith 8%
42	▲4 / ▲7	UCLA	0	0.79	0.79	48.1	Dylan McGhee 22%, JJ Sati-Grier 17%, Jordan Mize 14%
43	▼4 / ▼2	Stanford	0	0.77	0.77	42.1	Brendan Williams 16%, Damian Mojica 12%, Emmanuel Nwabuoku 10%
44	▼7 / ▲31	Illinois	0	0.76	0.76	47.9	Brady Pettigrew 40%, Amarion Smith-Holley 19%, Cole Kelly 8%
45	▼2 / ▲36	Miami	0	0.73	0.73	62.4	Evan Willis 37%, Shalen Sheppard 9%, Mason Collins 8%
46	▼2 / ▲5	Morehead State	0	0.73	0.73	32.2	Jordan Mitchell 44%, Will Nelson 22%, Landon Lampley 4%
47	▲6 / ▼3	Texas A&M	0	0.72	0.72	44.9	Boogie Cook 10%, Xavier Hall 7%, Anthony Spratt Jr. 7%
48	▲1 / ▲5	Sacramento State	0	0.69	0.69	29.9	Devaughn Dorrough 26%, Will Nelson 14%, Boss Mhoon 11%
49	▼4 / ▼3	VCU	0	0.69	0.69	41.2	Carter Smith 14%, Mason Collins 12%, Rowan Phillips 11%
50	▼2 / ▲2	Washington	0	0.66	0.66	37.8	Devaughn Dorrough 24%, Dylan Betts 8%, Houston Rolle 8%
51	▲9 / ▼8	Alabama	0	0.64	0.64	44.4	Houston Rolle 10%, Jordan Mize 10%, Peter Julius 8%
52	▼1 / ▲4	San Diego	0	0.63	0.63	31.4	Owen Eteuati-Edwards 27%, Boss Mhoon 9%, Liam Mitakaro 8%
53	▼3 / ▲1	Charlotte	0	0.62	0.62	28.8	Kaharri Coleman 16%, Isaiah Clarke 14%, Chase Smith 10%
54	▲4 / ▲4	UCF	0	0.61	0.61	27.0	David Douglas 18%, Shane Goines 15%, Xavier Hall 8%
55	▼3 / ▼7	New Mexico	0	0.61	0.61	24.6	Dakari Mitchell 20%, Marceles Duncan 13%, Isaiah Clarke 11%
56	= / ▼6	Saint Louis	0	0.59	0.59	28.5	Kalan Steinbeck 24%, Noah Washington 10%, Nijaun Harris 10%
57	▼3 / ▼2	Grand Canyon	0	0.59	0.59	28.4	Settimo Yugu 21%, Dylan McGhee 19%, Mateen Cleaves Jr. 18%
58	▼1 / ▲68	Iowa	0	0.58	0.58	43.9	Bentley Lusakueno 40%, Joey Kohnen 10%, Logan Chwastyk 5%
59	▼4 / ▼14	SMU	0	0.57	0.57	35.3	Emmanuel Nwabuoku 18%, Darren Ford 14%, Josiah Rose 8%
60	▼1 / ▼3	Baylor	0	0.56	0.56	38.7	Jakyi Miles 16%, Darren Ford 13%, Peter Julius 7%
61	▲1 / ▲2	FIU	0	0.53	0.53	30.5	Nijaun Harris 24%, Landon Lampley 10%, Darren Ford 7%
62	▼1 / ▼3	Oklahoma	0	0.51	0.51	23.7	Keaton Murry 20%, Landon Lampley 15%, Rodney Washington 8%
63	▲2 / ▼1	Coastal Carolina	0	0.48	0.48	20.3	CJ Moore 15%, Chris Paul II 12%, Antoine Caughman Jr. 10%
64	▲15 / ▲12	NC State	0	0.47	0.47	28.6	Xavier Hall 13%, Mason Collins 6%, Micah Gunter 4%
65	▼2 / ▼23	Florida	0	0.47	0.47	44.7	Colton Hiller 46%, Brady Pettigrew 1%
66	▼2 / ▼1	LIU	0	0.46	0.46	23.0	Kenyon St. Louis 18%, Isaiah Clarke 12%, Isaiah Hamilton 11%
67	▲1 / ▲1	Tennessee State	0	0.46	0.46	22.5	Joshua Huggins 26%, DJ Okoth 13%, Marceles Duncan 6%
68	▼2 / ▼8	Kent State	0	0.45	0.45	23.6	Noah Washington 31%, Dylan Zeigler 9%, Joshua Lindsay 4%
69	▼2 / ▼8	Xavier	0	0.45	0.45	28.7	Joshua Lindsay 17%, Darren Ford 11%, Josiah Rose 6%
70	▲7 / ▲9	San Francisco	0	0.44	0.44	22.5	Brendan Williams 16%, Liam Mitakaro 8%, MJ Boyd 6%
71	▼2 / ▼7	High Point	0	0.44	0.44	21.9	Kaleb Allen 20%, Micah Gunter 14%, Malik Moore 6%
72	▼2 / ▲2	Hampton	0	0.44	0.44	24.2	Nash Avery 21%, Joel Patrick 12%, Malik Moore 6%
73	▼1 / ▼2	Kennesaw State	0	0.43	0.43	21.4	Jaden McCullough 29%, Leartist Williams Jr. 8%, Damian Mojica 6%
74	= / ▼1	Nevada	0	0.43	0.43	18.4	Amare Chandler 19%, Josh Lowery 8%, Will Nelson 7%
75	▼4 / ▼9	Southern Utah	0	0.43	0.43	19.8	Amare Chandler 22%, JJ Sati-Grier 13%, Josh Lowery 8%
76	▼3 / ▼4	College of Charleston	0	0.42	0.42	20.2	CJ Moore 16%, Kaleb Allen 14%, Kaharri Coleman 10%
77	▼2 / ▼8	Butler	0	0.41	0.41	21.0	Landon Lampley 24%, Christian Clair 7%, Kenyon St. Louis 7%
78	▼2 / ▼8	Clemson	0	0.40	0.40	23.3	Braxton Bogard 39%, Trey Edwards 1%
79	▼1 / ▲1	UTEP	0	0.39	0.39	17.4	Joel Patrick 11%, Kaleb Allen 11%, MJ Boyd 10%
80	▲1 / ▲6	Cal State Bakersfield	0	0.36	0.36	20.3	Logan Chwastyk 15%, Joel Patrick 15%, Kareem Smith-Bey 3%
81	▲1 / ▲1	Davidson	0	0.36	0.36	17.1	Kinston Knueppel 35%, Bentley Lusakueno 1%
82	▼2 / ▼5	Texas Tech	0	0.34	0.34	18.8	Kareem Smith-Bey 18%, Josiah Rose 7%, MJ Boyd 5%
83	▲5 / ▲6	Kansas State	0	0.34	0.34	14.3	Brielen Craft 18%, Boogie Cook 10%, Trey Edwards 2%
84	= / ▼1	East Carolina	0	0.34	0.34	16.9	Kaharri Coleman 10%, Amarion Smith-Holley 8%, Damian Mojica 6%
85	▼2 / ▼7	Western Kentucky	0	0.34	0.34	17.8	Jordan Mitchell 17%, Joshua Lindsay 16%
86	▼1 / ▲1	Notre Dame	0	0.32	0.32	20.3	Joey Kohnen 12%, Will Brunson 7%, Mason Collins 6%
87	▼1 / ▼2	Northwestern	0	0.32	0.32	13.8	Settimo Yugu 15%, Quentin Mosby 11%, Michai White 4%
88	▼1 / ▼4	Pittsburgh	0	0.31	0.31	18.5	Rowan Phillips 9%, Nash Avery 8%, Isaiah Carter 8%
89	▲6 / ▲3	Oregon	0	0.28	0.28	19.5	Liam Mitakaro 7%, Myles Hayes 6%, Jaden McCullough 5%
90	▲2 / ▼2	Dayton	0	0.28	0.28	14.7	Joshua Lindsay 12%, Dylan Zeigler 11%, Amarion Smith-Holley 3%
91	= / –	Duke	0	0.28	0.28	26.7	Colton Hiller 26%, Yann Kamagate 2%
92	▼2 / ▼2	Portland	0	0.27	0.27	9.6	Dakari Mitchell 27%
93	▲11 / ▲14	McNeese	0	0.27	0.27	15.0	Nijaun Harris 15%, Kevin Wheatley Jr. 4%, Devaughn Dorrough 3%
94	▼5 / ▼3	Jacksonville	0	0.27	0.27	13.6	Joshua Huggins 17%, Blaze Johnson 6%, Tai Bell 2%
95	▲27 / ▲28	Texas	0	0.26	0.26	21.1	Shalen Sheppard 10%, Yann Kamagate 4%, Benjamin Berrouet 4%
96	▼3 / ▼2	New Orleans	0	0.26	0.26	10.1	Christian Clair 23%, Will Nelson 3%
97	▼3 / ▲1	Rider	0	0.25	0.25	18.2	Logan Chwastyk 14%, Will Brunson 7%, Michai White 4%
98	▼1 / ▼2	Cal State Northridge	0	0.25	0.25	8.6	Chris Paul II 23%, Nijaun Harris 1%
99	▼3 / ▼6	Weber State	0	0.24	0.24	9.2	Amare Chandler 20%, Quentin Mosby 4%
100	▲8 / ▲8	Memphis	0	0.24	0.24	13.4	DJ Okoth 10%, Rodney Washington 7%, Joshua Huggins 3%